One of the most common strategies for betting on roulette is called trend betting; either betting with the trend or against the trend. It’s always fascinating to see two players simultaneously using both trends (positive and negative) and seeing their reaction and outcomes as they both use the trend betting system but in opposite ways.
The concept of trend betting is quite simple. To extrapolate what will happen in the future, players review the past. If there is sufficient past data then projections about the future can be made. Often in the minds of “experts”, mathematical equations are churned through, statistics are generated, and the output are odds that lean towards a trend continuing or a trend breaking.
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Positive Trend Betting
A very simple form of trend betting is described below.
To use positive trend betting, pick either High-Low, Red-Black or Odd-Even to follow. In the below example, I have chosen to follow Red-Black.
Step 1: Place your bet on the color that appeared on the previous round, and continue on betting on that color for the proceeding rounds until you lose.
Example: if the previous round the outcome was Red. Then pick Red to place the next round bet on.
Step 2: Sit out the next round, immediately after the loss.
Example: if you lose on Red, then sit out the next round.
Step 3: After you have skipped a round, proceed to the next round with the previous rounds color. You basically repeat back to the first step.
Example: on the round that you skipped, if the outcome was Black, then proceed on betting on Black on the next round.
This method is positive trend betting. You are basically following the trend until it is broken. Once it is broken, skip the round, and start again onto the new trend. You can use this on any roulette band, but keeping it to the pay outs of 1-1, make it easier to select the new bet and to keep the trend simple.
Negative Trend Betting
Negative trend betting is the opposite of Positive Trend Betting.
Step 1: Place your bet on the opposite color that appeared on the previous round, and continue on betting on that color for the proceeding rounds until you lose.
Step 2: Skip out the next round, immediately after the loss.
Step 3: After you have skipped a round, proceed to the next round with the previous rounds opposite color. You basically repeat back to the first step.
Negative trending as described is simply choosing the opposite color. Is there any real difference from Positive Trend Betting? Not really. But I suspect the logic of those that believe in negative trend betting is that the trends must eventually break, and therefore going against a trend is inevitable.
Is Trend Betting Effective?
Trends are based on past results. And because the application of a trend in itself is based on the past, and nothing about going into the future can be factored into the mathematical equation, it’s therefore flawed to think that trend betting can predict the future.
UNLESS the roulette wheel is not what it seems!
Yes, there have been instances in the past whereby at land based casinos, the roulette wheel is not perfectly aligned. Not immediately obvious when playing a few rounds, but over the long run players have been able to determine that there is a slight skew in the outcomes. When applying trend betting in this scenario, then you are on a winner!
But, I would think that it is fair to say, that finding a faulty roulette wheel is few and far between. So don’t go around from casino to casino look for that one faulty roulette wheel!
Can Trend Betting be used for Online Roulette?
Trend betting can definitely also be used for online casinos. But similar to land based, the effectiveness of predicting the future is pretty much zero. The RNG of an online roulette as random as a real roulette wheel and the results will not be skewed.
Placing Bets on Roulette
A good common strategy to therefore use, is to place small bets, and only increase the wager if you feel you are on a winning streak. By keeping the wagers small you can stretch your bank roll.